AI Shares Advance as NVIDIA Earnings Reinforces Growth Narrative

01/09/2026
Older

Archived Article

This article was correct at the time of publishing however the information contained within it will no longer be current. It may also no longer reflect our views on this topic.

Share

NVIDIA earnings boost stocks as AI optimism outweighs yield concerns.

After coming under pressure from rising Treasury yields in the previous week, US equities regained some momentum, helped by a strong set of results from semiconductor giant NVIDIA. The company’s closely watched second-quarter earnings comfortably exceeded expectations, driving a fresh wave of optimism across the technology sector and broader artificial intelligence (AI) value chain. The Nasdaq responded by gaining +0.9%, while the broader S&P 500 advanced +0.5% (both in US dollar terms). Beyond the strong revenue growth delivered during the quarter, investors were particularly encouraged by NVIDIA’s upgraded guidance, which reinforced confidence that demand for AI infrastructure and associated capital expenditure remains robust despite growing questions in recent months around spending levels across the sector¹.

European equities also moved modestly higher, with the MSCI Europe ex UK Index advancing +0.2% in euro terms. Performance across the region was mixed, however, with a clear divergence emerging between some of the continent’s largest markets. German equities enjoyed a particularly strong week, supported by ongoing strength in industrial and technology-related names, while French stocks lagged amid weaker market sentiment. Across the Channel, the FTSE 100 finished broadly unchanged, although trading volumes were relatively subdued. In Asia, sentiment was generally more constructive. Japanese equities advanced, benefiting from the positive read-across from NVIDIA’s results and the renewed optimism surrounding the artificial intelligence (AI) value chain. The Nikkei 225 gained +0.6% in yen terms, with semiconductor and technology-related companies among the strongest performers. Chinese equities also recovered from a weak start to the week, with the Shanghai Composite rising 1.6% in local currency terms. Improved sentiment towards technology hardware and semiconductor stocks was once again a key driver.

A decline in energy prices also provided an additional tailwind for risk assets. Brent crude fell -5.4% over the week to $89.31 per barrel, as markets became increasingly optimistic that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz would improve and that the risk of a major supply disruption had eased. Lower oil prices helped alleviate some of the inflation concerns that have weighed on both bond and equity markets in recent weeks, supporting a modest recovery in investor sentiment. That optimism, however, has already come under pressure. The fragile détente between the US and Iran appears to have broken down, with both sides resuming attacks on one another for the first time since July. As a result, energy markets quickly reversed course, with Brent crude moving back above $91 per barrel at the time of writing (Tuesday morning).

¹ NVIDIA – Financial Results for Second Quarter Fiscal 2027, 26/08/2026

 

Macro Data

 

CountryMeasurePeriodActualForecastPrevious
UKN/A----
USDurable Goods Orders MoMJuly1.10%0.50%0.50%
Revised GDP QoQQ2'261.50%1.50%1.50%
EuropeN/A----
JapanJobs/Applicants RatioJuly1.181.191.18
Unemployment RateJuly2.40%2.50%2.50%
ChinaN/A----
Source: Forex Factory

There were no major economic data releases in the UK last week.

The latest revision to US second-quarter GDP provided little in the way of surprises, with growth left unchanged at an annualised +1.5%, confirming that the economy slowed from the +2.1% pace recorded in the first quarter². Despite the modest reduction, the data highlights that the US economy continues to grow steadily despite the headwinds of higher interest rates, elevated energy prices, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Elsewhere, durable goods orders rose +1.1% in July, comfortably ahead of expectations and indicative of continued business investment and demand for longer-lived manufactured goods³.

In July, the US housing market softened noticeably, with new home sales falling to an annualised rate of 607,000 units, down -10.5% from June's revised 678,000 and -6.3% below the level recorded a year earlier⁴. The decline suggests that elevated mortgage rates and affordability pressures continue to weigh on buyer demand despite a generally resilient economy. Inventories also continued to rise, with the number of new homes available for sale increasing to 488,000, equivalent to 9.6 months of supply, up from 8.5 months in June. The median sales price also eased to $393,000.

² Bureau of Economic Analysis - GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 2nd Quarter 2026
³ US Census Bureau - Monthly Advance Report on Durable Goods, Manufacturers' Shipments Inventories and Orders, July 2026
⁴ US Census Bureau – Monthly New Residential Sales, July 2026

There were no major economic data releases in Europe last week.

Japan’s labour market remained resilient in July, with the unemployment rate falling to 2.4% from 2.5% in June, marking its lowest level in over a year⁵. The improvement suggests demand for labour remains healthy despite a backdrop of moderating economic growth and heightened geopolitical uncertainty. Elsewhere, the jobs-to-applicants ratio was unchanged at 1.18, indicating that job availability remains broadly stable.

⁵ Statistics Bureau of Japan – Labour Force Survey, July 2026

There were no major economic data releases in China last week.

DayCountryMeasurePeriodForecastPrevious
MondayChinaOfficial Manufacturing Purchasing Manager IndexAugust49.6049.20
Official Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Manager IndexAugust-49.00
JapanRetail Sales YoYJuly2.90%0.50%
TuesdayChinaRatingDog Manufacturing Purchasing Manager IndexAugust51.0050.90
EuropeFlash Consumer Price Index Inflation YoYAugust3.30%2.90%
Unemployment RateJuly6.30%6.30%
UKBank of England Money & Credit ReportSeptember--
Nationwide House Price Index YoYAugust2.10%1.80%
USISM Manufacturing Purchasing Manager IndexAugust55.2055.60
WednesdayN/A----
ThursdayChinaRatingDog Services Purchasing Manager IndexAugust-50.40
EuropeProducer Price Index Inflation YoYJuly-4.60%
USISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Manager IndexAugust54.0054.10
FridayEuropeRetail Sales YoYJuly-0.70%
USAverage Wages YoYAugust3.10%3.20%
Non-Farm PayrollsAugust65K-23K
Unemployment RateAugust4.20%4.10%
Source: Forex Factory

 

SJP Approved: 01/09/2026

Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

The value of an investment with Rowan Dartington may fall as well as rise. You may get back less than the amount invested. 

The value of investments may fall as well as rise purely on account of exchange rate fluctuations. 

The information contained does not constitute investment advice. 

Full advice should be taken to evaluate the risks, consequences, and suitability of any prospective investment. Opinions provided are subject to change in the future as they may be influenced by changes in regulation or market conditions. Where the opinions of third parties are offered, these may not necessarily reflect those of Rowan Dartington.

FTSE Source: London Stock Exchange Group plc and its group undertakings (collectively, the “LSE Group”). © LSE Group 2025. FTSE Russell is a trading name of certain of the LSE Group companies. “FTSE Russell®” is a trademark of the relevant LSE Group companies and is used by any other LSE Group company under license. All rights in the FTSE Russell indexes or data vest in the relevant LSE Group company which owns the index or the data. Neither LSE Group nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the indexes or data and no party may rely on any indexes or data contained in this communication. No further distribution of data from the LSE Group is permitted without the relevant LSE Group company’s express written consent. The LSE Group does not promote, sponsor, or endorse the content of this communication.

MSCI Source: MSCI makes no express or implied warranties or representations and shall have no liability whatsoever with respect to any MSCI data contained herein. The MSCI data may not be further redistributed or used as a basis for other indices or any securities or financial products. This report is not approved, endorsed, reviewed, or produced by MSCI. None of the MSCI data is intended to constitute investment advice or a recommendation to make (or refrain from making) any kind of investment decision and may not be relied on as such.

S&P & Dow Jones Source: © S&P Dow Jones LLC 2025. All rights reserved.

Rowan Dartington is a trading name of St. James’s Place Investment Management Limited which is part of St. James’s Place PLC. St. James’s Place Investment Management Limited is a member firm of the London Stock Exchange and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England & Wales No. 02752304 at St. James’s Place House, 1 Tetbury Road, Cirencester, Gloucestershire, GL7 1FP, United Kingdom.